📊Weekly Market Cycle Analysis: #28/2023

Uncover the Latest Trends and Opportunities in Wall Street, navigating Bonds, Interest Rates, Currencies, Commodities, Stock Indexes, REITs.

#keypoints

• Weekly Market Cycle Analysis: #28/2023[Free]:

  • In what time of the Market Cycle are we now?

  • Best Bond ETFs

  • Best Currency ETFs

  • Best Commodities ETFs

  • Best Stock Index ETFs

  • Best REITs ETFs

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• Market Cycle and Alfa Hedge Portfolio II Update [Premium]

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In what time of the Market Cycle are we now?

Understanding the current phase of the market cycle is crucial for investors looking to maximize their returns.

This Weekly Market Cycle Analysis will delve into the current phase of various markets, including Bonds, Interest Rates, Currencies, Commodities, Stock Index and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).

The Alfa Hedge Rating was developed by Zurique Capital, to identify the Markets (through ETFs) combining:

• highest historical positive volatility (highest probability of Long-Term uptrends), with this data we analyze the past.

• highest expectancy ratio, with this data we analyze what to expect in the future based on statistics (not astrology or opinions).

• Market Cycle Phase, with this data we analyze the present situation of the Market.

For each market, we have an Alfa ETF, they are the Benchmarks of each Market for our Portfolio, not necessarily this are the most negotiated ETFs, but the ones with greatest Alfa Hedge Rating.

We share this analysis Weekly, but our Portfolio Rebalance is Monthly.

This analysis are not investment recommendations and investors must do their own research (please read the Disclaimer section).

We invest our own money and share our Portfolio with Premium Subscribers.

Premium Subscribers have full access to our Alfa Hedge Portfolio II in a Real-Life Brokerage Account in Real Time.

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Total US Market Cycle Analysis

US Market Alfa Hedge Analysis Week #28/2023

To know more about Market Cycle Phases, click here to read the Article: Demystifying Market Cycle Investing

There was a Stock Market recovery, getting again on Uptrend (back to Phase 3).

Crypto keeps on accumulation phase, but on Positive Cycle side.

Interest Rates is also in accumulation, but on Negative Cycle side.

REITs still on Phase 1 since last week.

Currencies, Bonds and Commodities are back to downtrend (Phase 6) this week.

Despite this movements, the Markets kept the same percentage on Negative and Positive Cycle.

Let’s now dive in the markets.

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Best Bond ETFs: Market Cycle Analysis

The bond market is primarily influenced by interest rates.

When interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and vice versa.

This is because as interest rates increase, newly issued bonds become more attractive (since they offer higher yields), causing the prices of existing bonds to fall.

Other factors that influence the bond market include inflation expectations, economic growth, and credit ratings of issuers.

For this analysis we track the most negotiated ETFs of the Bond Market:

BND 0.00%↑ : This popular ETF offers exposure to entire investment grade bond market in a single ticker, with holdings in T-Bills, corporates, MBS, and agency bonds.

AGG 0.00%↑: This ETF offers broad-based exposure to investment grade U.S. bonds, making AGG a building block for any investor constructing a balanced long-term portfolio as well as a potentially attractive safe haven for investors pulling money out of equity markets.

BNDX 0.00%↑ : BNDX offers broad market-like exposure to investment-grade bonds denominated in foreign currencies, hedged against currency fluctuations for US investors. A majority of the fund`s investments are in sovereign bonds with AA rating or better.

VCIT 0.00%↑ : VCIT offers exposure to investment grade corporate bonds that fall in the middle of the maturity spectrum, thereby delivering a moderate amount of both interest rate and credit risk.

TLT 0.00%↑ : This ETF is one of the most popular options for investors seeking to establish exposure to long-dated Treasuries, an asset class that is light on credit risk but may offer attractive yields thanks to an extended duration and therefore material interest rate risk.

Source: https://etfdb.com/etfs/

Bonds Alfa Hedge Analysis Week #28/2023

Week #28/2023 Scenario

No moves on the Bond Market Cycle this week.

All the most negotiated Bond ETFs AGG 0.00%↑ , BND 0.00%↑ , TLT 0.00%↑ BNDX 0.00%↑ and VCIT 0.00%↑ on Negative Cycle.

The Best Bond ETF this Week accordingly with the Alfa Hedge Rating is again VCIT 0.00%↑.

We don’t have Bond Market positions on Alfa Hedge Portfolio II now.

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Best Currency ETFs: Market Cycle Analysis

Currency markets are influenced by a range of factors, including interest rates, inflation, political stability, economic performance, and geopolitical events.

For example, if a country's economy is performing well and interest rates are high, its currency is likely to be attractive to foreign investors, which can cause the currency to appreciate.

For this analysis we track the most negotiated ETFs of the Currency Market:

UUP 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to a basket of currencies relative to the U.S. dollar, decreasing in value when the trade-weighted basket strengthens and increasing when the dollar appreciates.

FXE 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to the euro, the official currency of the eurozone, relative to the U.S. dollar, increasing in value when the euro strengthens and declining when the dollar appreciates.

FXY 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to the Japanese yen relative to the U.S. dollar, increasing in value when the yen strengthens and declining when the dollar appreciates.

FXF 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to the Swiss franc relative to the U.S. dollar, increasing in value when the franc strengthens and declining when the dollar appreciates.

FXC 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar, increasing in value when the ‘loonie’ strengthens and declining when the dollar appreciates.

Source: https://etfdb.com/etfs/

Currency Alfa Hedge Analysis Week #28/2023

Week #28/2023 Scenario

The Currency Market walked again significantly from Negative to Positive Cycle this week.

Now, most of the ETFs are now on Positive Cycle FXC 0.00%↑ , FXE 0.00%↑ and FXF 0.00%↑ .

FXE 0.00%↑ lost strength and FXF 0.00%↑ is now on second place accordingly to our rating.

Dollar and Yenne (UUP 0.00%↑ and FXY 0.00%↑) are still on Phase 6.

Dollar and the Stock Market have negative correlation, once the Stock Market gains strength, is natural the Dollar lose power to others currencies.

The Best Currency ETF this Week accordingly with the Alfa Hedge Rating is the FXC 0.00%↑.

We don’t have Currency Market positions on Alfa Hedge Portfolio II now.

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Best Commodities ETFs: Market Cycle Analysis

The commodities market is influenced by supply and demand dynamics.

For example, if there is a disruption in the supply of a commodity (due to a natural disaster, for instance), the price of the commodity is likely to increase.

On the other hand, if demand for a commodity decreases (perhaps due to a slowdown in economic growth), the price of the commodity is likely to fall.

For this analysis we track the most negotiated ETFs of the Commodities Market:

GLD 0.00%↑ : GLD is one of the most popular ETFs in the world, offering exposure to an asset class that has become increasingly important to the asset allocation process in recent years.

SLV 0.00%↑ : This ETF uses a physically-backed methodology, an idea that was popularized by ETFs, due to investors growing tired of the complexities of futures contracts and the dangers that are associated with them.

PDBC 0.00%↑ : The Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF (PDBC), as the name implies, offers exposure to commodity futures without the tax hassle of a K-1, which some investors avoid.

FTGC 0.00%↑ : FTGC is an actively managed fund that, through a subsidiary, provides broad exposure to commodities through futures contracts.

DBC 0.00%↑ : This ETF is one of the largest and most popular options for investors looking to achieve broad-based commodity exposure.

Source: https://etfdb.com/etfs/

Commodities Alfa Hedge Analysis Week #28/2023

Week #28/2023 Scenario

Gold GLD 0.00%↑ took the first position from Silver SLV 0.00%↑ this week.

This Week, only Gold GLD 0.00%↑ is in a better Cycle condition (Phase 5).

All others Commodities ETF DBC 0.00%↑, PDBC 0.00%↑, FTGC 0.00%↑ andSLV 0.00%↑ are in Downtrend (Phase 6).

The Best Commodities ETF this Week accordingly with the Alfa Hedge Rating is GLD 0.00%↑ .

We kept our position in Commodities Market in July on Alfa Hegde Portfolio II.

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Best Stock Index ETFs: Market Cycle Analysis

Stock markets are influenced by a variety of factors, including corporate earnings, economic indicators (such as GDP growth, unemployment rates, and inflation), interest rates, and investor sentiment (mostly this one in my opinion).

For this analysis we track the most negotiated ETFs of the Stock Indexes Market:

SPY 0.00%↑ : SPY is one of the largest and most heavily-traded ETFs in the world, offering exposure to one of the most well known equity benchmarks.

VTI 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers broad exposure to the U.S. equity market, investing in thousands of different securities across all sectors.

QQQ 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to one of the world’s most widely-followed equity benchmarks, the NASDAQ, and has become one of the most popular exchange-traded products.

VEA 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to developed markets outside of North America, including Western Europe, Japan, and Australia.

VTV 0.00%↑ : This ETF is linked to the MSCI US Prime Market Value Index, which offers exposure to large-cap companies that exhibit value characteristics within the U.S. equity market.

Source: https://etfdb.com/etfs/

Stock Index Alfa Hedge Analysis Week #28/2023

Week #28/2023 Scenario

Since we started this weekly update this is the first Market to get full Positive Cycle.

S&P SPY 0.00%↑, Nasdaq QQQ 0.00%↑ and VTI 0.00%↑ are on uptrend, and VTV 0.00%↑ and VEA 0.00%↑ in a consolidation Phase 5, but also on Positive Cycle.

This is where the money is now.

The Best Stock Index ETF this Week accordingly with the Alfa Hedge Rating is SPY 0.00%↑

We have now 3 positions on Stock Market Indexes in the Alfa Hedge Portfolio II

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Best REITs ETFs: Market Cycle Analysis

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are influenced by factors such as interest rates, economic growth, and the health of the real estate market.

For example, if interest rates are low, borrowing costs are lower, which can stimulate investment in real estate and cause REITs to perform well.

Similarly, if the economy is performing well and the real estate market is healthy, REITs are likely to perform well.

For this analysis we track the most negotiated ETFs of the REITs Market:

VNQ 0.00%↑ : The Vanguard Real Estate Trust (VNQ) offers broad exposure to U.S. equity REITs, alongside a small allocation to specialized REITs and real estate firms.

SCHH 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to the real estate industry within the U.S. equity market. SCHH follows the Dow Jones U.S. Select REIT Index, tracking the performance of an asset class that has been recently overlooked by many investors following the unprecedented housing crisis.

XLRE 0.00%↑ : XLRE tracks a market-cap-weighted index of REITs and real estate stocks, excluding mortgage REITs, from the S&P 500.

VNQI 0.00%↑ : This ETF offers exposure to global real estate markets, excluding American securities in favor of assets in developed countries in either Europe, or the Asia Pacific region.

REET 0.00%↑ : REET tracks a global, market-cap-weighted index of firms involved in the ownership and operation of real estate

Source: https://etfdb.com/etfs/

REITs Alfa Hedge Analysis Week #28/2023

Week #28/2023 Scenario

No changes on REIT scenario this week. All ETFs still on Negative Cycle.

VNQI 0.00%↑, SCHH 0.00%↑, VNQ 0.00%↑ and REET 0.00%↑ keeps in Downtrend Phase 6 and XLRE 0.00%↑ on Phase 1.

The Best REIT ETF this Week accordingly with the Alfa Hedge Rating is VNQI 0.00%↑.

We don’t have positions now on REIT Market in the Alfa Hedge Portfolio II.

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Weekly Evolution Alfa Hedge Portfolio II Week #28/23

Market Cycle and Portfolio Update

Accordingly with the Market Cycle, what Markets do we have on Alfa Hedge Portfolio II right now?

Access now the evolution of the Alfa Hedge Portfolio II clicking on the button bellow.

If the button doesn’t work, please click on this link: https://www.wallstreetinsiderreport.com/p/dailyupdate

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