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📊Case Study: PLTR, AMAT & CVS

Dive deep into Market Cycle and Portfolio updates, and catch daily market highlights. Plus, don't miss our case study featuring PLTR, AMAT and CVS

Aug 18, 2023
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#Market Cycle and Portfolio Updates

📆23-08-17

Click here for access the Market Cycle and Alfa Hedge Portfolio II Update

#keypoints

  • Market Highlights:

    • US Stocks Drop, Economy Strong

  • 📊Case Study

    • PLTR 0.00%↑ : AI Stock Billionaires are Selling

    • AMAT 0.00%↑ : Optimistic Forecast Amidst Easing Chip Slump

    • CVS 0.00%↑ : Significant drop


Market Highlights

  • US Stocks Drop, Economy Strong

    • Major Indices Performance:

      • The Dow Jones decreased by 0.8%.

      • The S&P 500 also dropped by approximately 0.8%.

      • The tech-focused Nasdaq Composite declined by more than 1% for the third straight day.

  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield:

    • Settled just under 4.3%, which is close to recent high levels.

    • Globally, yields are at levels not witnessed since the Great Recession.

  • Economic Data:

    • Weekly unemployment claims showed a decrease, signaling sustained strength in the job market.


📈Market Cycle Analysis PLTR 0.00%↑ AMAT 0.00%↑ CVS 0.00%↑

The Alfa Hedge Data Analysis was developed by Zurique Capital, to identify the Markets Cycles (through ETFs) combining:

  1. Market Cycle Phase, with this data we analyze the present situation of the Market.

  2. Historical positive volatility (highest probability of Long-Term uptrends), with this data we analyze the past.

  3. Reward/Risk Ratio and Expectancy Ratio, with this data we analyze what to expect in the future based on statistics (not astrology or opinions).

The Alfa Hedge Portfolio don't invest in stocks directly, but through indexes ETFs, so, the weight shown in the image is based on the weight of the stock on the index and the weight of this index in the Alfa Hedge Portfolio.

This analysis are not investment recommendations and investors must do their own research (please read the Disclaimer section).

We invest our own money and share our Portfolio with Premium Subscribers.

Premium Subscribers have full access to our Alfa Hedge Portfolio II in a Real-Life Brokerage Account in Real Time.

Know More About Premium Subscription

PLTR 0.00%↑ : AI Stock Billionaires are Selling

  • Five billionaires sold large portions of Palantir stock.

    • Ken Griffin (Citadel Advisors)

    • Philippe Laffont (Coatue Management)

    • Israel Englander (Millennium Management)

    • Jim Simons (Renaissance Technologies)

    • Jeff Yass (Susquehanna International)

  • Reasons for the sell-off:

    • Palantir's high valuation given the expected revenue growth.

    • Despite the high valuation, Palantir's unique operating model and cash-flow predictability give it a premium value.

📈ALFA HEDGE ANALYSIS PLTR 0.00%↑

🟢Market Cycle Phase: Positive Cycle

🟠Alfa Hedge Portfolio II: Not represented through S&P, Dow Jones or Nasdaq

🟢Historical positive volatility: Average Return Positive

🟢Reward/Risk Ratio: >2

🟢Expectancy Ratio: >0

📈ALFA HEDGE ANALYSIS PLTR

AMAT 0.00%↑ : Optimistic Forecast Amidst Easing Chip Slump

  • Company Profile: Applied Materials, top U.S. chipmaking machinery manufacturer.

  • Q4 Sales Projection: Predicts strong Q4 sales of $6.51 billion.

  • Main Drivers: Growth in artificial intelligence and internet-connected devices.

  • Challenges: Oversupplied market and reduced memory chip demand.

  • Optimism: Confident in broader semiconductor adoption across industries.

📈ALFA HEDGE ANALYSIS AMAT 0.00%↑

🟢Market Cycle Phase: Positive Cycle

🟠Alfa Hedge Portfolio II: Represented through S&P, Dow Jones or Nasdaq

🟢Historical positive volatility: Average Return Positive

🟢Reward/Risk Ratio: >2

🟢Expectancy Ratio: >0

📈ALFA HEDGE ANALYSIS AMAT

CVS 0.00%↑ : Significant drop

  • CVS (CVS) experienced a significant drop.

  • This was influenced by a report suggesting that the insurer, Blue Shield of California, intends to reduce its dependence on CVS for pharmacy services.

  • Instead, they are considering a shift towards Amazon and Mark Cuban's drug firm. Consequently, CVS stock plummeted by more than 8%.

📈ALFA HEDGE ANALYSIS CVS 0.00%↑

🔴Market Cycle Phase: Negative Cycle

🟠Alfa Hedge Portfolio II: Represented through S&P, Dow Jones or Nasdaq

🟢Historical positive volatility: Average Return Positive

🟢Reward/Risk Ratio: >2

🟢Expectancy Ratio: >0

📈ALFA HEDGE ANALYSIS CVS

Before buy PLTR 0.00%↑, AMAT 0.00%↑ or CVS 0.00%↑ see inside our Portfolio in Real Time

Become a Premium Subscriber and get full access to our Alfa Hedge Portfolio II in real time.

Every business day we update the evolution of the Alfa Hedge Portfolio II.

Premium Subscribers have full access to our Alfa Hedge Portfolio II in a Real-Life Brokerage Account in Real Time.

Alfa Hedge Portfolio II


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By Dan Castro · Launched 3 years ago
Decode the Algorithms Behind Wall Street’s Moves from the Inside.
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How to Use AI to Monitor and Rebalance Your Portfolio in Real-Time?
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Nov 10, 2024 • 
Dan Castro
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17:43
In 2022, Stocks Plunged 25%, Yet Smart Investors Celebrated
Weekly Market & Portfolio Results: NVIDIA Jumping 16.8% in May | Cash Isn’t Lazy. It’s Strategic: Updated May/2025 Positions
May 19 • 
Dan Castro
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📊Portfolio Update: Feb/24 Rebalancing
Get full access to our real-life portfolio in real time, and our data-driven market cycle investment strategy
Feb 5, 2024 • 
Dan Castro
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