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What’s the Cycle Telling Us?

Decoding Wall Street: Week 12/2025

Only 19% of investors are still bullish — and that may be a good sign.

After nearly two years above its 200-day moving average, the S&P 500 has officially lost momentum. While our Alpha Asset gained 45% during that phase, the data now signals a cycle shift.

This is the 30th correction of more than 5% since 2009 — a reminder that volatility is not a bug, but a feature of long-term investing. Large-cap multiples are compressing, investor sentiment is low, and the top 7 stocks in the index are all in negative territory this month.

That’s exactly when durable strategies matter most.

Corrections shake portfolios — and emotions. But historically, pessimism like this often precedes stronger returns.

At Zurique Capital, we follow the cycle. When the trend is up, we ride it with our Alpha Asset. When it turns, we switch to a protection mode. Since 2009, this disciplined approach has delivered a 43.2% CAGR — while the S&P 500 returned 13.5%.


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Disclaimer
This post is for informational purposes only. The information contained in this Report is not legal, tax, or investment advice. The Wall Street Insider Report and Zurique Capital Research do not endorse or recommend any investments and assume no liability for any consequence relating directly or indirectly to any action or inaction taken based on the information contained in this article.
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About Zurique Capital Research
Zurique Capital Research is a global provider of independent investment research, solutions and tools. Founded in 2018, Zurique Capital helps clients around the world make systematic investment decisions. Our experienced strategists and analysts use Market Cycles strategies with trend following overlay, the Alpha Hedge Algorithm, charts, proprietary indicators and weight-of-the-evidence methodology to help clients see the signals and invest with confidence. Zurique Capital is headquartered in Orlando, Florida, with offices in New York and Recife, Brazil.
Understanding the Collective2 Alpha Hedge Portfolio
The Collective2 Portfolio was created in 09/17/2021 with $50,000 to ensure confidence in the presented results. This way, we enable our Premium Subscribers get access to our positions in real time.
The Collective2 Portfolio is executed in a Real-Life Brokerage Account with Interactive Brokers, integrated with the Platform Collective2, a U.S. regulated company based in New York.

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