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The Fed Raised Rates, And the Economy Didn’t Crash. Why?
High interest rates alone didn’t cause a downturn. In fact, the U.S. economy kept growing, defying textbook expectations.
Traditional economics said: High rates = recession.
But consumers kept spending, travel boomed, and job markets remained strong.
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, defies the standard macro playbook. He looks at restaurant bookings, movie ticket sales, and even Fed email fatigue to anticipate what’s next, because the old indicators? They’re breaking down.
His approach is simple but powerful:
Don’t rely on one metric.
Focus on real-world behavior, not just models.
Treat the market like a mosaic, not a machine.
This aligns with our belief at Zurique Capital: modern investing demands adaptive, AI-driven insights, not static theories.
What data sources do you trust when the traditional ones fail?
Let’s open up the toolbox. Drop your favorite unconventional metric in the comments.
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