Investment Cycle Analysis: Timing Short Positions
+AI Investment Bot: Tech Stocks Trends & Alpha Hedge AI-Algo Portfolio Review: 11/13/24
Investment Cycle Analysis: Timing Short Positions
Our latest report reveals potential selling opportunities as 29 market assets show diverse trends. Uncover which assets may soon transition into a downturn and what that means for strategic positioning.
New York Call
Every business day, we hold a live meeting with our Brazilian clients, called the New York Call, where we analyze the market, our portfolio, and assets on demand. This is an excerpt from the meeting in Portuguese and AI-Dubbed in English.
🔰 In Portuguese ↓
🤖AI-Dubbed in English (in test) ↓
(The AI-powered version is still a work in progress, but we’re actively working to enhance the experience. Thank you for your understanding.)
Comprehending Market Phases
The market transitions through six distinct phases. When investors aim for short positions, they traditionally target assets in the downward trending Phase 6 or those on the brink of such a decline. These phases aren't mere theoretical constructs—they are crucial guides for investment decisions. Our recent analysis identified 29 assets with significant market interest in establishing short positions. But which assets truly warrant this strategy?
Identifying Ideal Short Positions
The optimal targets for short positions are assets in Phase 5. Why? Because they are on the cusp of moving into Phase 6, the penultimate point before a full-fledged downturn.
By timing sells at the end of a Phase 5 cycle, investors can maximize potential returns. In our evaluation, assets like Marathon MARA 0.00%↑ or Plug PLUG 0.00%↑, currently in Phase 2, are erroneously targeted for short positions. These assets are poised to rise, marking them unsuitable for selling.
Timing and Execution
MARA 0.00%↑ PLUG 0.00%↑ ALT 0.00%↑ SAVE 0.00%↑ EOSE 0.00%↑ ABR 0.00%↑ PCT 0.00%↑ LUNR 0.00%↑ MPW 0.00%↑ DRUG 0.00%↑ PHAT 0.00%↑ UPST 0.00%↑ AAOI 0.00%↑ LOVE 0.00%↑ SAVA 0.00%↑ TARS 0.00%↑ ENVX 0.00%↑ EVGO 0.00%↑ NOVA 0.00%↑ FFIE 0.00%↑ KSS 0.00%↑ WOLF 0.00%↑ SEDG 0.00%↑ CHPT 0.00%↑ BYND 0.00%↑ SPCE 0.00%↑ RILY 0.00%↑ VERB 0.00%↑ XPON 0.00%↑
While it's tempting to sell assets already in a downturn, evidenced by the 9 assets in a current downtrend, the timing isn't optimal. Instead, the focus should be on NOVA 0.00%↑ and Faraday Future FFIE 0.00%↑, both in Phase 5, perfect for short positioning if trends continue.
Alpha Hedge AI Algo Portfolio Review
The Alpha Hedge AI-Algo Portfolio may contain either 1 Alpha or 1 Hedge Asset at a time, depending on the Cycle of the S&P500.
The tables and graphics below present historical data on the Alpha and Hedge Cycles. The Performance considered Profits reinvested, no contributions, no withdrawals and dividends are excluded.
Alpha Hedge AI-Algo Portfolio Review: 11/13/24
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