📊In Which Phase of the Market Cycle Are We Now?
February/24 Update for Bonds, Currencies, Stocks and Crypto
In Which Phase of the Market Cycle Are We Now?
February/24 Update for Bonds, Currencies, Stocks and Crypto
Bond Market
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as consumer confidence improves and inflation slows
In response to the 20-year interest rate downtrend that began in November 2023, our bond alpha hedge position remains integral in our portfolio, aligning with these market shifts.
Currency Market
The US Dollar Index strengthened amid Treasury yield surge and job growth, despite the Fed's cautious stance on inflation and rate cuts
Following the dollar's cycle, currently in a phase 6 downtrend, we opened a hedge position in the currency market in January, and plan to continue this strategy in February.
Equity Market
The S&P 500 reached an all-time high, surpassing its previous record set two years ago
With the equity market in phase 3, we opened an alpha position in January, a strategic move we will maintain through February.
Growth Market
Top-performing growth stocks in January included names like NVIDIA, AMD and Netflix.
With the equity market in phase 3, we opened an alpha position in January, a strategic move we will maintain through February.
Crypto Market
The SEC approved the first US-listed ETF to track Spot Bitcoin, marking a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency market
In the crypto market, now in phase 4, we've held our alpha position for 12 months, the longest and best-performing cycle in our Alpha Hedge Portfolio. We'll still hold this position.
Alpha Hedge Portfolio
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