📊Earnings as Rudder of Sentiment
Inside the Cycle of Equity Market: Corporate Earnings Navigate Between Growth and Stagnation
Earnings as Rudder of Sentiment
Inside the Cycle of Equity Market
Earnings Navigate Between Growth and Stagnation
Earnings announcements from companies like Walmart WMT 0.00%↑ and Home Depot HD 0.00%↑ are critical in shaping market sentiment.
Home Depot's results suggested a lack of productivity, whereas Walmart showed signs of growth and benefaction, indicating divergent corporate performances within the equity market.
Our Algorithm suggested no positions to HD 0.00%↑ and WMT 0.00%↑ due low probability of long-term uptrend (Alpha 2) for HD 0.00%↑ and no momentum (Alpha 1) and low probability of long-term uptrend (Alpha 2) for WMT 0.00%↑.
Alpha Hedge Asset: Statistical Data of the current asset in the Alpha Hedge Portfolio for reference
Max Position Size: Calculated using the statistical data of expected gain and risk-return ratio according to the Kelly criterion.
Alpha 1: Price Cycle Phase, with this data we analyze the present situation of the asset.
Alpha 2: Historical Performance vs. Buy & Hold, this data we analyze the probability of Long-Term uptrends in the past.
Alpha 3: Expectancy Ratio, with this data we analyze what to expect in the future based on statistics.
Alpha Hedge Equity Portfolio
Understanding the Alpha Hedge Equity Portfolio
This portfolio combines either 1 Alpha Asset during equities’ Bull Market or 1 Hedge Asset, usually Commodities, during equities’ Bear Markets.
In February, the Equity Portfolio represents 26% of the Alpha Hedge Portfolio.
Performance of the Alpha Hedge Equity Portfolio*
Equity Market is in Phase 3 (Belief Phase). Accordingly, an Alpha position was assembled in January/24. In this Alpha Cycle, up until February 16, 2024, it yielded a return of 15.5%*, and 1202.73% since June 2013.
The benchmark for this portfolio is the SPY 0.00%↑ ETF, which had a 204.90%% performance in the same period**.
*To ensure confidence in the presented results, our Premium Subscribers can follow the Alpha Hedge Portfolio in Real Time, from a Real-Life Brokerage Account.
** The Alpha Hedge and Benchmark performances were achieved without any new contributions or withdrawals, and with profits and dividends excluded throughout the period.
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These are some assets sent we are working on: $SANB11, SPY 0.00%↑ , $INKP, HD 0.00%↑, $ATT, NVDA 0.00%↑, $BNBUSD, TSLA 0.00%↑, QQQ 0.00%↑ , MATIC
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