📊Bond Market Anticipates Interest Rate Impact
Inside the Cycle of the Bond Market
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Bond Market Spotlight
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Bond Market Anticipates Interest Rate Impact
The anticipation surrounding the PCE inflation data reflects on the Bond Market as it directly influences interest rate expectations.
Higher inflation readings may discourage the Federal Reserve from cutting rates, affecting bond yields. The adjustment in the GDP growth rate to 3.2% from an initial estimate of 3.3% also plays a role in setting expectations for economic health and monetary policy, which are crucial for bond investors.
Alpha Hedge Bond Portfolio
The Bond Market's driving force is the 20-Year Rate, currently in Phase 6 (Denial Phase). A Hedge Position was established in November 2023. As of February 23, 2024, this Hedge Cycle experienced a negative return of -1.55%, yet it has yielded 299.11% since July 2013*.
The benchmark for this portfolio is the TLT 0.00%↑ ETF, which recorded a -15.04% performance since July 2013**.
Understanding the Alpha Hedge Bond Portfolio
This portfolio combines 1 Alpha Asset during increasing 20-Year Rate or 1 Hedge Asset during 20-Year Rate downtrend.
The Alpha Hedge Bond Portfolio currently represents 15% of the Alpha Hedge Portfolio.
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